Trump takes the New Hampshire primary

January 24 – The numbers are in for the New Hampshire nomination and former president Donald Trump comes out ahead of Nikki Haley for the Republican ticket for this November. 

The final tally looks like Trump won by 11 points. He has 54% of the vote. 

Attorney Clint Barkdoll pointed out, “The polls have been surprisingly accurate in Iowa and New Hampshire. We said yesterday that all the polls showed Trump ahead by about 10 to 12 points. I thought going into yesterday Nikki Haley had to come within about five to verbally say she’s going to continue and to give him a run for this nomination.”

Haley said last night she is not dropping out of the race. 

Barkdoll said, “She is continuing to South Carolina. Now we have a full month until that next primary down there. Trump’s victory speech last night, which he did with Tim Scott and Vivek Ramaswamy, was 20 minutes of critique of Nikki Haley. Obviously they want her out because even though Trump is inevitably going to win this, her staying in the race is going to cause him to spend money. She’s going to challenge him to debates. She’s going to create some uncomfortable situations for him, but the race will go on, but at this point, I don’t see her path.”

Apparently, Trump is ahead by over 30 points in South Carolina already right now. 

Barkdoll said, “So I don’t really see a viable path for her. By the way, Joe Biden was not on the New Hampshire ballot yesterday, but he did win a write-in campaign, a write-in vote. So this train is moving down the track. It looks like it’s going to be Biden versus Trump 2.0.”

There could be some red flags in the exit polling for both Biden and Trump in the fall.  

Barkdoll said, “There were significant numbers of voters yesterday, about a third of the voters in the Republican primary said they will never vote for Donald Trump in the general election and about 12%, 15% of voters in that Democratic primary said the same thing about Joe Biden. That is a big problem. These guys need to figure out a way to appeal to those Independents and crossover voters and if they can’t, it’s going to be a problem in the fall.”

Michele Jansen of NewsTalk 103.7FM noted, “I think the fact that Trump was 11 and not closer to 20 points difference, which is what some pundits were predicting, because I think part of that was they thought the DeSantis ad would put him in that place. That means he has more of a struggle than some people may want to believe getting those Independents to vote for him and he’s going to have to work hard. I do think it’s a really a distraction and having to spend a lot more money and I can’t help but think there are those in the Uni-Party faction or the ones that just want to benefit from what the government can do for them and don’t really care what happens to the country who would just as soon Donald Trump lose and Biden get in there, so they will keep promoting Nikki Haley thinking that’s going to waste resources and continue the fight in the distractions. Also I have to point out, this write-in campaign that people are crowing about that Joe Biden got 51.5%. Yeah, people had to work hard to get people to go out and do the write-in campaign. This wasn’t spontaneous with the voters. This was an actual, active campaign. So to me, that’s a little bit silly to say, ‘oh, look how wonderfully he did in a write-in campaign’, when they really had to push people and get people, it was a strategy and you shouldn’t need that if it’s a real spontaneous demonstration of how much he’s liked.”

Barkdoll added, “There were no delegates. No delegates for the Democrats either. Remember, Biden stripped New Hampshire from being their first primary. So there were no delegates at stake. He was not on the ballot. He had the US senators, other dignitaries up there, they were working a very active write-in campaign. This was by no means an organic effort. But again, it’s all kind of for naught in the sense that we’re no delegates anyway. Getting back to Nikki Haley, a lot of her ongoing campaign, this isn’t now so much up to her, it’s the donors. Will these big money donors keep writing checks for her? If they will, she’s going to have the fuel to keep going for another month. But if those big donors start pulling out, she actually could run out of money and would not be able to move forward. For now, she seems confident that the checks are going to keep being written to at least get her through South Carolina in four weeks.”